SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | AC Milan |
52.08% ( 0.67) | 22.1% ( -0.18) | 25.82% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 62.45% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.93% ( 0.41) | 37.07% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.74% ( 0.44) | 59.26% ( -0.44) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0.37) | 14.43% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.64% ( 0.7) | 42.36% ( -0.7) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( -0.14) | 27.02% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( -0.18) | 62.38% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.37% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 25.82% |
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