Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
0.01) 
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