SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
64.51% ( 0.47) | 20.43% ( -0.15) | 15.06% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.03) | 44.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( 0.03) | 67.17% ( -0.02) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.86% ( 0.15) | 13.15% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% ( 0.29) | 39.82% ( -0.29) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0.41) | 42.24% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -0.36) | 78.64% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | Austin FC |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.43% | 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.06% |
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