Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
40.21% ( -0.78) | 24.18% ( 0.2) | 35.61% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 60.6% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.07% ( -0.89) | 41.92% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.67% ( -0.9) | 64.33% ( 0.89) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.01% ( -0.74) | 20.98% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.25% ( -1.17) | 53.75% ( 1.17) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -0.1) | 23.31% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% ( -0.14) | 57.25% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.75% Total : 40.21% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.61% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: