New York Red Bulls have had a better season than Nashville so far, but the sheer number of absentees as a result of international duty and injury could be to the away side's benefit.
Additionally, both teams have been vulnerable defensively at times this campaign, and this could make for an entertaining game on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.08) 
-0.05) 
