Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
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