SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for NEC had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
38.15% ( 0.15) | 24.44% ( -0.03) | 37.41% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% ( 0.17) | 42.99% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( 0.17) | 65.39% ( -0.17) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.15) | 22.46% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.23) | 56% ( -0.23) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.16% ( 0.02) | 22.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.02) | 56.56% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.15% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.41% |
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