SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
46.66% ( -0.15) | 23.02% ( -0.02) | 30.31% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.8% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.82% ( 0.19) | 38.18% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.55% ( 0.2) | 60.45% ( -0.2) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( 0.02) | 16.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.34% ( 0.03) | 46.65% ( -0.03) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( 0.2) | 24.58% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( 0.28) | 59.07% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 46.66% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.31% |
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