While Lazio have lost three of their last five away games, those defeats were to Milan, Juventus and Bologna, and they should return to winning ways on Saturday with a marginal victory in Salerno. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Lazio
28.35% ( 0.01)	25.44% ( 0)	46.21% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.21% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

-0.02)

50.2% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

-0.01)

72.16% (

0.01)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

-0)

32.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

-0)

68.48% (

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.27% (

-0.01)

21.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11% (

-0.02)

54.89% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 28.35%

Lazio 46.2%

Draw 25.44%

Salernitana	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.35%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.2%