Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
-0.73) 
0.44) 
