SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 2-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (13.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Lanus |
35.29% ( -1.29) | 30.75% ( 0.56) | 33.96% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 40.19% ( -1.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.61% ( -1.62) | 67.39% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.47% ( -1.11) | 85.53% ( 1.1) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( -1.76) | 36.14% ( 1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( -1.83) | 72.92% ( 1.83) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.93% ( -0.37) | 37.07% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.14% ( -0.37) | 73.86% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.25)2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.98% Total : 35.29% | 1-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.78)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.75% | 0-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.65) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.82% Total : 33.95% |
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