Santa Clara and Rio Ave have put together a fine run of results in recent weeks and we anticipate a thrilling matchup at the Estadio de Sao Miguel this weekend. However, Matos' side have been near impenetrable at home this season and we are tipping them to pick up a sixth consecutive victory in front of their supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
-0.03) 
0.13) 
