Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
