Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Servette	Draw	Lugano
51.76% ( -1)	22.09% ( 0.34)	26.16% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 62.85% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.31% (

-1.04)

36.69% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.15% (

-1.14)

58.85% (

1.14)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.6% (

-0.68)

14.4% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.7% (

-1.34)

42.3% (

1.34)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

-0.08)

26.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

-0.11)

61.79% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Servette 51.76%

Lugano 26.16%

Draw 22.09%

Servette	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.4% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.16%