Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Arsenal |
29.11% (![]() | 26.01% (![]() | 44.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.9% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% (![]() | 52.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.14% (![]() | 73.86% (![]() |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% (![]() | 32.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.02% (![]() | 68.98% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% (![]() | 23.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% (![]() | 57.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 8.46% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.11% | 1-1 @ 12.37% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.99% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.88% |
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