While Athletic may be unbeaten in 10 competitive matches, they have had to settle for draws in their last two away games in La Liga, and we think that they will have to be content with a point when they face a Sevilla side that has drawn four of their previous five home league matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
2.06) 
-2.84) 
