SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
30.69% ( -0.34) | 26.39% ( -0.19) | 42.92% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% ( 0.62) | 52.95% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% ( 0.53) | 74.55% ( -0.53) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.08) | 31.73% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% ( 0.09) | 68.15% ( -0.1) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.54) | 24.46% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.09% ( 0.76) | 58.91% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.69% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.91% |
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