SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shanghai Port |
33.52% ( -2.25) | 24.02% ( 0.28) | 42.46% ( 1.97) |
| Both teams to score 60.66% ( -1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( -1.86) | 41.62% ( 1.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% ( -1.91) | 64.02% ( 1.9) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( -2.1) | 24.33% ( 2.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.28% ( -3.06) | 58.72% ( 3.05) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( 0.1) | 19.83% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( 0.16) | 51.91% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.28) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.52% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.66)0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.55)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 42.46% |
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