Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 61.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 16.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Chengdu Qianbao win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
0.11) 
-0.59) 
