SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
47.86% ( 0.13) | 23.79% ( 0.02) | 28.34% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( -0.18) | 43.02% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( -0.18) | 65.41% ( 0.18) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( -0.02) | 18.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.89% ( -0.03) | 49.1% ( 0.03) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.2) | 28.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( -0.25) | 64.03% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.29% 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.34% |
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