SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Shanghai Shenhua win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
51.35% ( -0.44) | 26.77% ( 0.26) | 21.88% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 43.62% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.22% ( -0.73) | 59.78% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( -0.56) | 80.07% ( 0.56) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.51) | 23.47% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( -0.74) | 57.48% ( 0.74) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.24) | 43.01% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.7% ( -0.21) | 79.3% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.48% Total : 51.35% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.03% Total : 21.88% |
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