SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 79.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.73%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
79.23% ( 0.76) | 12.77% ( -0.41) | 8% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.83) | 27.31% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.11% ( 1.04) | 47.88% ( -1.05) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.59% ( 0.29) | 5.4% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.83% ( 0.86) | 21.16% ( -0.87) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.48% ( -0.15) | 42.51% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.12% ( -0.13) | 78.87% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.12)6-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 5.17% Total : 79.23% | 1-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.77% | 1-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 8% |
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