SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Sochi win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
34.88% ( 0.02) | 27.39% ( -0.01) | 37.73% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% ( 0.05) | 55.98% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.92% ( 0.04) | 77.07% ( -0.04) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( 0.04) | 30.44% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( 0.04) | 66.65% ( -0.05) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( 0.02) | 28.69% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( 0.03) | 64.51% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)2-3 @ 2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.73% |
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