SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
55.01% ( -1.9) | 25.39% ( 0.91) | 19.59% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 44.25% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% ( -2.04) | 57.35% ( 2.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( -1.65) | 78.17% ( 1.65) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( -1.56) | 20.89% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.4% ( -2.5) | 53.59% ( 2.49) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.94% ( -0.05) | 44.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.82% ( -0.04) | 80.17% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.17% Total : 55% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.7)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
