SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
53.54% ( 0.02) | 22.23% ( -0.01) | 24.24% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( 0.03) | 39.26% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% ( 0.03) | 61.6% ( -0.03) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( 0.02) | 14.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.08% ( 0.03) | 42.92% ( -0.03) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% ( 0.01) | 29.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.59% ( 0.01) | 65.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.24% |
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