SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
68.87% ( 0.03) | 17.81% ( -0.04) | 13.31% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.42% ( 0.21) | 36.58% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.27% ( 0.23) | 58.73% ( -0.24) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.37% ( 0.06) | 9.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.83% ( 0.15) | 32.17% ( -0.16) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% ( 0.14) | 39.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.79% ( 0.13) | 76.2% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.22% Total : 68.87% | 1-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.81% | 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.31% |
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