SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 19.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
59.75% ( 0.07) | 20.93% ( 0.2) | 19.33% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.52% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.51% ( -1.34) | 39.48% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.17% ( -1.41) | 61.82% ( 1.41) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -0.4) | 12.87% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.73% ( -0.83) | 39.27% ( 0.83) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( -1.05) | 33.97% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( -1.15) | 70.65% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.29)1-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.42)3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 59.75% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.33% |
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