SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
52.13% ( 0.14) | 22.52% ( -0.03) | 25.34% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( 0.03) | 39.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.11% ( 0.03) | 61.89% ( -0.04) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0.05) | 15.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( 0.1) | 44% ( -0.11) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( -0.07) | 28.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( -0.08) | 64.52% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.13% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.34% |
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