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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 88.28%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
88.28% ( -0.15) | 8.04% ( 0.14) | 3.68% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.92) | 22.24% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.77% ( -1.27) | 41.23% ( 1.27) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.85% ( -0.15) | 3.15% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.95% ( -0.54) | 14.05% ( 0.54) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.95% ( -0.88) | 52.05% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.96% ( -0.58) | 86.04% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 3-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)7-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)7-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.89% Total : 88.27% | 1-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.61% Total : 8.04% | 1-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.4% Total : 3.68% |
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