Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 60.55%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 20.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (5.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	Lugano
60.55% ( 0.45)	19.34% ( -0.17)	20.11% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 64.9% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.44% (

0.44)

30.56% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.14% (

0.52)

51.86% (

-0.52)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.06% (

0.24)

9.94% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.12% (

0.55)

32.88% (

-0.55)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.06% (

0.02)

27.94% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

0.02)

63.57% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 60.55%

Lugano 20.11%

Draw 19.34%

St Gallen	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.55%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.34%	1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 20.11%