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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
BL

Stoke
1 - 2
Birmingham

Thompson (70')
Gooch (90+3'), Wilmot (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stansfield (10'), Bacuna (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Birmingham City

Stoke will be of confident of doing the double over Birmingham after dominating the reverse fixture last month, but Blues should be a much sterner test with Mowbray at the helm. The visitors have been notoriously poor on their Championship travels this term, but we are backing them to force a share of the points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
44.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.22% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.16% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)75.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)23.98% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.07% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4%70.6%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.97%
    Birmingham City 28.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Stoke CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-4 Brighton
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Ipswich
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Hull City
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship


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