SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
34.5% ( 0.01) | 25.79% ( 0) | 39.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.7% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.01) | 49.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( -0.01) | 71.51% ( 0.01) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( 0) | 27.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% | 62.99% ( 0) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% ( -0.01) | 24.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.96% ( -0.02) | 59.04% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.5% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.7% |
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