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Serie B | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso
BL

Sudtirol
1 - 2
Brescia

Odogwu (85' pen.)
Ceppitelli (69'), Cagnano (76'), Merkaj (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adorni (12'), Corrado (60')
Paghera (29'), Galazzi (39'), Matej Juric (54'), Bisoli (83'), Papetti (86'), Olzer (87'), Muca (89')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrarese 2-0 Sudtirol
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 2-0 Brescia
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
SudtirolDrawBrescia
34.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 28.7% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.11% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)80.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.98% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.47% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14%67.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 34.16%
    Brescia 37.13%
    Draw 28.69%
SudtirolDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 34.16%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.69%
0-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 7.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 37.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Carrarese 2-0 Sudtirol
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 3-2 Salernitana
Saturday, August 24 at 6.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-1 Modena
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Sudtirol (9-8 pen.)
Friday, August 9 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sudtirol 0-1 Palermo
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 2-2 Sudtirol
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Reggiana 2-0 Brescia
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Cittadella
Saturday, August 24 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-0 Palermo
Friday, August 16 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 3-1 Venezia
Sunday, August 11 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Brescia 2-2 Renate
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Brescia 2-0 Genoa
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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