SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
54.05% ( 0.1) | 19.85% ( 0.07) | 26.11% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 71.41% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.51) | 25.62% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.28% ( -0.67) | 45.72% ( 0.67) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.01% ( -0.14) | 9.99% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.99% ( -0.33) | 33.01% ( 0.33) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.39) | 20.66% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( -0.62) | 53.25% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 4.02% Total : 54.05% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.11% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
