SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
44.45% ( -0.36) | 25.11% ( 0.23) | 30.44% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.96) | 47.73% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.9) | 69.92% ( 0.89) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( -0.56) | 21.48% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.48% ( -0.87) | 54.52% ( 0.87) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.4) | 29.24% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( -0.5) | 65.2% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.45% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.44% |
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