SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
31.7% ( -1.04) | 24.95% ( 0.2) | 43.35% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% ( -1.23) | 46.51% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( -1.17) | 68.79% ( 1.16) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( -1.26) | 27.8% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( -1.63) | 63.39% ( 1.63) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( -0.13) | 21.48% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( -0.2) | 54.51% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.7% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.35% |
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