SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Wrexham |
38.96% ( 0.31) | 23.46% ( 0.02) | 37.57% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 63.56% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( -0.15) | 38.15% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.16) | 60.42% ( 0.15) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( 0.08) | 19.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.9% ( 0.13) | 52.09% ( -0.14) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( -0.24) | 20.6% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0.37) | 53.14% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.15% Total : 38.96% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.57% |
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