Both sides have shown a tremendous amount of resilience recently, but we are leaning towards Tajikistan because they have performed better overall and have nothing to lose at this stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Tajikistan	Draw	Jordan
38.37% ( 0.67)	26.75% ( -0.04)	34.89% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.57% (

0.12)

53.43% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04% (

0.1)

74.96% (

-0.1)

Tajikistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

0.44)

27.1% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.51% (

0.57)

62.49% (

-0.57)

Jordan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0.33)

29.17% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

-0.4)

65.11% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Tajikistan 38.36%

Jordan 34.89%

Draw 26.74%

Tajikistan	Draw	Jordan
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.36%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.89%