Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.34) 
-0.01) 
