SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 10.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
73.46% ( 0.51) | 16.19% ( -0.14) | 10.35% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.08% ( -0.44) | 36.92% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.9% ( -0.48) | 59.1% ( 0.48) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.34% ( 0.01) | 8.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.15% ( 0.01) | 29.85% ( -0.01) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.31% ( -0.98) | 44.69% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.32% ( -0.8) | 80.68% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 73.46% | 1-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.93% Total : 16.19% | 0-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.35% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
