SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo DR | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Togo | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 68.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.27%) and 3-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Togo | Draw | South Sudan |
68.18% ( 1.44) | 21.14% ( -0.64) | 10.67% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 36.35% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( 0.52) | 56.8% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% ( 0.41) | 77.74% ( -0.42) |
| Togo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( 0.66) | 15.87% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.92% ( 1.21) | 45.08% ( -1.21) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.2% ( -1.17) | 56.8% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.07% ( -0.68) | 88.93% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Togo | Draw | South Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 16.59% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 15.27% ( 0.38)3-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.43)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 68.18% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.14)Other @ 1.48% Total : 10.67% |
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