SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 3-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Santos Laguna |
63.27% ( 0.09) | 18.68% ( -0.05) | 18.05% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.48% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.3% ( 0.21) | 30.7% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.96% ( 0.25) | 52.03% ( -0.25) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.66% ( 0.08) | 9.34% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.52% ( 0.19) | 31.47% ( -0.19) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( 0.1) | 29.98% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( 0.12) | 66.09% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Santos Laguna |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.27% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.68% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.6% Total : 18.05% |
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