Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.1) 
