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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
CL

Udinese
2 - 0
Cagliari

Lucca (38'), Davis (78')
Lucca (64'), Toure (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Makoumbou (5'), Azzi (80')
Makoumbou (30')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Torino
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-0 Cagliari

Neither side are particularly prolific, so the game could be decided by a single goal - and Udinese are marginal favourites to score it. The hosts have made a fine start to their 2024-25 campaign, while Cagliari are often less effective when away from Sardinian soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawCagliari
46.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.01% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 28.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.78% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.24% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)20.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.08% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 46.39%
    Cagliari 28.6%
    Draw 25%
UdineseDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Udinese
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Torino
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, October 6 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Cagliari
Monday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-0 Cremonese
Tuesday, September 24 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Empoli
Friday, September 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, September 15 at 5pm in Serie A


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