SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 34.47%. A win for Union had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 32.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.89%) and 1-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (14.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
33.28% ( -0.11) | 32.26% ( 0.03) | 34.47% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 36.6% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.49% ( -0.07) | 71.51% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.82% ( -0.04) | 88.18% ( 0.05) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( -0.12) | 39.94% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( -0.11) | 76.59% ( 0.12) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( 0.02) | 39.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% ( 0.02) | 75.79% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.28% | 0-0 @ 15.6% ( 0.05) 1-1 @ 13.46% 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 32.26% | 0-1 @ 14.66% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 34.46% |
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