SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Bahrain |
40.5% ( -0) | 26.15% ( -0) | 33.35% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.79% ( 0) | 51.2% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% | 73.04% ( -0) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( -0) | 24.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( -0) | 59.54% ( -0) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( 0) | 29.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( 0) | 64.96% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| United Arab Emirates | Draw | Bahrain |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.99% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.35% |
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