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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Centenario
CN

Uruguay
vs.
Colombia

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We say: Uruguay 1-1 Colombia

Uruguay's only two wins in their last seven games both came on penalties at the Copa America, including in the third-place playoff, and ending a four-game scoreless run will be pivotal to getting back on track here. Colombia are a very threatening side under Lorenzo though, and ignoring their blip in the altitude of Bolivia, they have been very consistent in this qualifying campaign, and will be confident of a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.34%. A draw has a probability of 29.8% and a win for Colombia has a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Colombia win it is 0-1 (11.25%).

Result
UruguayDrawColombia
42.34% (-0.796 -0.8) 29.76% (0.571 0.57) 27.9% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 41.02% (-1.272 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.4% (-1.626 -1.63)65.6% (1.628 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.69% (-1.14 -1.14)84.31% (1.143 1.14)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (-1.264 -1.26)30.77% (1.266 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-1.517 -1.52)67.03% (1.518 1.52)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.24% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)40.75% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.66% (-0.669 -0.67)77.33% (0.67100000000001 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 42.33%
    Colombia 27.9%
    Draw 29.74%
UruguayDrawColombia
1-0 @ 14.77% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 12.53% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 29.74%
0-1 @ 11.25% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 27.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-0 Uruguay
Saturday, October 12 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 1-1 Guatemala
Monday, September 2 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Uruguay (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 14 at 1am in Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Bolivia 1-0 Colombia
Thursday, October 10 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Argentina
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Colombia
Saturday, September 7 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Colombia
Monday, July 15 at 2.15am in Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Colombia
Thursday, July 11 at 1am in Copa America


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