Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.34%. A draw has a probability of 29.8% and a win for Colombia has a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Colombia win it is 0-1 (11.25%).
Result | ||
Uruguay | Draw | Colombia |
42.34% ( -0.8) | 29.76% ( 0.57) | 27.9% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 41.02% ( -1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.4% ( -1.63) | 65.6% ( 1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.69% ( -1.14) | 84.31% ( 1.14) |
Uruguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% ( -1.26) | 30.77% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% ( -1.52) | 67.03% ( 1.52) |
Colombia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.24% ( -0.74) | 40.75% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.66% ( -0.67) | 77.33% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Uruguay | Draw | Colombia |
1-0 @ 14.77% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.25% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.74% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.3% Total : 27.9% |
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