SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Colombia |
41.72% ( -0.62) | 29.69% ( -0.06) | 28.58% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 41.49% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.81% ( 0.41) | 65.19% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.98% ( 0.29) | 84.02% ( -0.29) |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% ( -0.15) | 30.91% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( -0.17) | 67.2% ( 0.17) |
| Colombia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.05% ( 0.81) | 39.94% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( 0.73) | 76.6% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uruguay | Draw | Colombia |
| 1-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.34% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.68% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.4% Total : 28.58% |
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