The hosts will want to produce a strong performance to give Suarez the perfect send-off in his final game for the country, and they should comfortably beat a poor Paraguay side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.12) 
