SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 79%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 6.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (12.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (2.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Turkmenistan |
79% ( -4.27) | 14.51% ( 2.65) | 6.49% ( 1.62) |
| Both teams to score 38.37% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( -5.41) | 42.94% ( 5.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( -5.59) | 65.35% ( 5.58) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.15% ( -2.15) | 8.84% ( 2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.71% ( -5.5) | 30.28% ( 5.49) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.09% ( 1.67) | 57.91% ( -1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.45% ( 0.89) | 89.54% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 2-0 @ 15.06% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 12.41% ( 1.63)3-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.96)2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.68)4-0 @ 7.39% ( -1.5)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.56)5-0 @ 3.58% ( -1.22)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.53)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.72)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.12% Total : 78.99% | 1-1 @ 6.78% ( 1.2) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 1.13)2-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.36% Total : 14.51% | 0-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.73) 1-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.41)Other @ 1.84% Total : 6.49% |
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