SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | FC Koln |
43.35% ( -0.2) | 23.33% ( 0.13) | 33.32% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.15% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.67% ( -0.62) | 38.33% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0.66) | 60.61% ( 0.66) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( -0.33) | 18.1% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( -0.57) | 49.03% ( 0.57) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0.26) | 22.88% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -0.38) | 56.63% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.77% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.32% |
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